Polls and the Status Quo

Written By: guyjin on August 30, 2009 No Comment

Heading in to the election tonight, here is a brief summary of the positions of the various parties in the lower house prior to the election:

House of Representatives:

LDP 296 seats

DPJ 113 seats

NKP 31 seats

JCP 9 seats

SDP 7 seats

PNP 4 seats

NPN 1 seat

NPD 1 seat

After the 2007 Upper House election, the DPJ hold 109 of the 242 seats, 6 more than the coalition of the LDP (83) and NKP (20).

In the lead-up to this election, the polls have been showing a large swing to the DPJ, and victory seems almost certain. The biggest question seems to be how much strength will the LDP lose…

Opinion Polls:

The JNN Poll taken of 1200 adults over August 8 and 9 showed the DPJ with a 12 point lead, 40% to 28% over the LDP, with 11% still undecided.

A TV Asahi poll of 1000 adults on August 22 and 23 showed a similar result, with 38.3% saying they would vote DPJ, and 23.6 for the LDP, although here as many as 25.5% were still undecided or did not respond.

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Tags: DPJ, Election 2009, House of Representatives, LDP, National Election, Opinion Polls